Germans, Swedes, Belgians and Swiss will be ethnic minorities in their own countries by 2046 without remigration, according to data projections laid bare by a new data mapping tool.
The Demography Dashboard, launched by right-wing think tank the Institute for Remigration (IFR) this week, uses official data from 14 European countries to project when each will hit migrant majority status.
A second “remigration scenario” projection shows which year the migrant share would fall below 5% if foreign arrivals were reduced by 90% along with annual emigration equivalent to 1% of the immigrant population.
According to the projections, Switzerland, which already has an immigrant population share of 41.2%, will be the first country of those modelled to have migrant majority country, hitting its “tipping point” in 2038 – just 11 years and two months from now.
Belgium, which is now 36.6% foreign, will hit the threshold in 2044, followed by Germany (32% migrant according to 2025 data) in 2045, and Sweden in 2046.
Other countries modelled and the years they will become native minority are Austria (2052), the UK (2053), Spain (2057), The Netherlands (2058), Norway (2058), Portugal (2064), Italy (2069), Ireland (2077), Finland (2088), and Denmark (2156).
Denmark has some of Europe’s toughest immigration laws thanks to policies by the left-leaning Social Democrats responding to public concern about integration and the tax burden of non-Western immigrants.
France is also included on the dashboard and is projected to exceed 50% migration ancestry in 2050, but is not directly comparable to the other countries as the projection was not calculated using the IFR model, but is from a high scenario published by a French think tank.
The Demography Dashboard shows where current trends could lead, but also that a different course is possible. Europe’s demographic future has not yet been decided.
So what can you do? Contribute your expertise. Volunteer, organise locally and build lasting networks. Go beyond posting online.
Furthermore, help us take the next step: Dashboard 2.0, with regional data, political tipping points and refined methodology.
— Institute for Remigration (@remigrationinst) October 6, 2026
IFR founder Martin Sellner said the figures visualised by the Demographic Dashboard were confronting.
“In several European countries the native population will become a minority in only a few decades if nothing changes,” he said.
“But the dashboard also shows something equally important, something hopeful, the white pill, so to say. This development is not irreversible. Our remigration scenario demonstrates and proves that a fundamental change in migration policy can reverse the trend, restore native majorities and demographic security.
“We’ve created this dashboard to raise awareness, first for the Great Replacement – the problem – and for remigration – the solution.”
Mr Sellner said people needed to first “face the grim demographic reality”, and then must work together and “learn about the new hope”, and asked European patriots to help the IFR’s projects.
The mapping tool is the latest in a series of recent projects illustrating the extent to which White people are being demographically replaced in their own countries.
In August, French researcher Leo Pier launched The Great Replacement Clock, which tracks the declining White share of the global population and in 45 individual countries, and in July activist group Remigration New Zealand released a similar interactive map on its website comparing Census data.
Header image: The status quo projections (Demographic Dashboard).
