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Analysis - International


The Great Replacement and Belgium

brussels, large market, belgium-1546290.jpg

Reversing demographic transformations must come before political infighting

Belgium often features in Western media as a country on the edge of disintegration. The Flemish and Walloon nations are perennially at each other’s throats, seeking different political, social, and economic objectives. Often the Flemish are after independence while the Walloons are simply attempting to deal with the increase in poverty that has accompanied deindustrialization.

These battles matter little, however. The Belgian population, a White population, is being steadily replaced by foreigners from both inside and outside of Europe.

Belgium has undergone one of the most radical demographic transformations in the West and without policy changes, Belgians will become a minority in their own country in relatively short order. Luckily Belgium has a policy, legal, and even political environment which if properly utilized could reverse the trend of the Great Replacement in the country.

The Current Situation:

In 2023 Statbel, the Belgian Statistics Office, reported that Belgians with a Belgian background are just 65.5% of the country’s population. The Belgian population of Belgium has fallen some 16.3 percentage points since the year 2001 when Belgians made up a much healthier 81.8% share of the country’s population.

In this same 22-year time period the population of Belgians with a foreign background, meaning both naturalized immigrants and second-generation immigrants, has increased substantially. In 2001 Belgians with a Foreign background were just 9.8% of the population of Belgium but today they stand at 21% of the population. The number of Africans has increased fourfold from 210,000 in 2001 to well over 823,000 as of 2023. Similarly, the Asian population has nearly quadrupled from 54,000 in 2001 to 199,302 as of 2023 and these are just the foreign background categories.

The final category in the country is Non-Belgians (those without citizenship), which Statbel says makeup 13.4% of the population as of 2023. This is almost double the 8.4% share that Non-Belgians (non-citizens) held in 2001.

In total, the share of people who are not of true Belgian origin has increased from a less-than-ideal 18.2% share of the Belgian population in 2001 to a concerningly high share of 33.4% as of 2023.

The Great Replacement and Belgium

At the same time this demographic transition has occurred the population of native Belgians has decreased sharply, from 8.4 million in 2001 to 7.6 million as of 2023. Some of this decrease is explained by the mass emigration of native Belgians, nearly 300,000 of whom live in neighboring countries. still, a radical drop in the native population, regardless of circumstance, is concerning.

The non-White population, those originating in Oceania, Asia, and Africa, and those born to this population, has experienced a remarkable increase in this same timeframe as well. In 2001 some 5% of the population to at least 13% as of 2023, though these numbers only include the official statistics. Other numbers show much larger shares of the non-White population. While official Belgian statistics recognize 340,000 Moroccans in the country, other studies have shown the number of Moroccans is likely closer to 500,000.

Regardless, the non-White population of Belgium has expanded nearly three-fold over the course of just 22 years, while the overall non-Belgian populace has increased from 1.8 million in 2001 to an incredible 4 million as of 2023.

This demographic transformation has radically transformed Belgian’s perceptions of their own country. According to a 2017 survey by Le Soir and other foundations, some 77% of Belgians no longer feel at home in Belgium. A statement is born out of the fact that Brussels, the nation’s capital, is only 25% Belgian as of 2023.

Furthermore, 43% of Belgians believe that Muslims cannot be Belgian. At the same time, a majority of Belgians believe that descendants of immigrants will never be real Belgians.

These demographic changes have brought about incredible changes in Belgium and radically transformed the nation.

The Great Replacement and Belgium
Main trafficking connections between Latin American ports and EU ports in 2020 (based on quantities and number of seizures reported by EU ports) – EMCDDA

Belgium has become the drug importation capital of Europe. Moroccan gangs represent one of Europe’s most serious threats and their gang wars on the streets of Antwerp and other Belgian cities result in numerous deaths each year. The Albanian, Moroccan, and Arab gangs quite brazenly bribe, or threaten workers at Belgium’s ports, and many of these workers (themselves young immigrants) take money and kickbacks for working with the gangs.

Belgium ranks fifth in the world for the number of drug seizure operations and this is with very limited resources for enforcement against the gangs.

Violence in the country has become such a serious issue that the Belgian King, HM Philippe, spoke out in February of 2024. The Belgian monarch implored the political class to do something about the mounting violence after he met with Europol agents in Brussels.

Still, the Belgian political class will find no solutions to the drug trade, criminal gangs, and mounting violence unless and until they are willing to embrace repatriation and immigration of Belgium’s non-White and non-Belgian populations.

Policy Solutions:

Despite being the capital of the EU and at the heart of the post-war neoliberalism and globalism that has shaped the West, Belgium has ample policy options at its disposal and perhaps even the extant political will to get the job done.

In Flanders N-VA and Vlaams Belang, two nationalist and socially conservative parties, hold the largest share of the region’s legislative seats. The two parties are also often necessary in order to form the complex coalition governments that plague Belgian Federal politics.

Nationalists clearly have a path to political power in Belgium, and coming together to demand repatriation as a feature of any future coalition governments should become a mainstay of Belgian politics.

Simply by refusing to renew visas the Belgians could steadily remove 431,000 non-Whites from the country. Going a step further the Belgians could also cancel the visas of Whites who are known to engage in large-scale criminal activities such as the Albanians. Visa cancellation would see the removal of some 60,000 Albanians and would shatter another key mainstay of organized crime in the country.

The next step is to deal with the roughly 1.088 million non-Whites who already possess Belgian citizenship. Those with Belgian citizenship can be deprived of Belgian nationality so long as it does not originate from a Belgian parent, which is a stipulation that would apply to a large share of the non-White populace of the country. These non-Whites can be deprived of their citizenship for fraudulent or false representation in the pursuit of their citizenship or if the individual is in “serious breach” of his obligations as a Belgian citizen, such as being convicted of a serious crime.

These two categories would cover hundreds of thousands of non-Whites in the country. Belgium has long been a hub of European marriage and parentage scams. The Belgian and European government agencies are well aware of the scale of the problem as reports going back to 2012 demonstrate. Also, in 2019, Belgium broke up a series of sham marriage rings which were importing dozens of women a year. And these rings are known to be operating on a much wider scale.

In terms of crime, Moroccans, Algerians, Turks, and other non-Whits make up a large share of the Belgian prison population. It is also well established that second-generation immigrants are more criminal than their immigrant parents. This seriously inflates the number of non-White criminals in Belgium and could lead to tens if not hundreds of thousands of justified denaturalizations.


Belgium is home to roughly 1.5 million non-Whites, most of whom have only tangential connections to the country, live in ethnic enclaves, and many of whom participate in criminal activity.

Belgium should, first and foremost be the home of the Belgian people. Belgian nationalists, of which there are millions according to the voting roles, must set aside petty differences in order to pursue policies that will restore Belgian demographic dominance in the country before the hope of any political action is lost.

This article originally appeared on White Papers and is republished by The Noticer with permission. Follow the White Papers Policy Institute on Telegram here.

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